Table 1 The hypothetical method 1 shows the probability of assigning a death from a true cause to each of the three possible causes; the hypothetical method 2 differs only in the higher probability of assigning deaths from cause A to cause A.

True

A

0.70

0.03

0.27

B

0.04

0.60

0.36

C

0.065

0.585

0.35

Method 2

Estimated

A

B

C

True

A

0.80

0.02

0.18

B

0.04

0.60

0.36

C

0.065

0.585

0.35